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False Positive Calculator

Calculate false positives, true negatives, and false positive rate from disease prevalence and test specificity.

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What Are False Positives?

A false positive occurs when a healthy person receives a positive diagnostic test result. This calculator estimates false positives, true negatives, and the false positive rate from disease prevalence and test specificity. For full confusion matrix metrics, see the Accuracy Calculator.

Key Formulas

$$\text{False positives} = (1 - \text{Specificity}) \times (1 - \text{Prevalence})$$

$$\text{True negatives} = \text{Specificity} \times (1 - \text{Prevalence})$$

$$\text{False positive rate} = 1 - \text{Specificity}$$

Example

With 5% disease prevalence and 93% test specificity, the false positive rate is 7%. Among a population of 10,000, about 665 healthy people would test positive incorrectly.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is specificity?

Specificity is the probability a healthy person tests negative. A 93% specificity means 7% of healthy people get a false positive.

What is prevalence?

Prevalence is the proportion of the population with the disease at a given time.

How is false positive rate calculated?

False positive rate equals 100% minus specificity. It is the chance a healthy person tests positive.

Can I calculate false positives from prevalence alone?

No. You also need specificity or the raw counts of false positives and true negatives.

How does this relate to the false positive paradox?

When prevalence is low, even a small false positive rate can produce many false alarms. See the False Positive Paradox Calculator.

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