Cubic Regression Calculator
Fit a cubic regression model y = a + bx + cx² + dx³ to your data points using least squares. Get coefficients, R-squared, and predicted values instantly.
What Is Cubic Regression?
Cubic regression fits a third-degree polynomial to paired data so you can model curved relationships that a straight line cannot capture. The model is:
$$y = a + bx + cx^{2} + dx^{3}$$
The coefficients $a$, $b$, $c$, and $d$ are chosen by least squares to minimize the sum of squared residuals between observed $y$ values and predictions $\hat{y}$.
How the Calculator Works
Enter matching lists of $X$ (independent) and $Y$ (dependent) values. You need at least four points. The tool builds the model matrix with columns $[1, x, x^{2}, x^{3}]$, solves the normal equations $\beta = (X^{\top}X)^{-1}X^{\top}y$, then reports the equation, coefficients, $R^{2}$, fitted values, and residuals.
When to Use Cubic Regression
Use a cubic model when a scatter plot shows an S-shaped bend or when theory suggests a cubic trend. Prefer a simpler model when it fits nearly as well. Compare with the Linear Regression Calculator before adding higher-order terms.
Example
For $X = \{0,1,2,3,4,5\}$ and $Y = \{2,1,3,8,14,20\}$, the fitted cubic curve tracks the upward bend in $Y$. Inspect $R^{2}$ and residuals to judge fit quality.
Frequently Asked Questions
How many points do I need for cubic regression?
You need at least four distinct points to estimate four coefficients. With exactly four non-collinear design points the fit can pass through every observation.
What does R-squared mean here?
$R^{2}$ is the proportion of variance in Y explained by the cubic model. Values near 1 mean a close fit; low values mean the cubic curve does not capture the pattern well.
Why might the fit fail?
If the X values make $X^{\top}X$ singular (for example, too few unique X values), the matrix cannot be inverted and a cubic model cannot be estimated.
How is cubic regression different from linear regression?
Linear regression uses $y = a + bx$. Cubic regression adds $x^{2}$ and $x^{3}$ terms so the fitted curve can bend twice.
Can I use this for prediction?
Yes for interpolation within your X range. Extrapolation far outside the observed X values is unreliable for high-degree polynomials.
Related Tools
Explore related statistics tools: