Interest Rate Parity Calculator
Calculate covered and uncovered interest rate parity (IRP) forward exchange rates and arbitrage potential between currencies.
What is Interest Rate Parity (IRP)?
Interest Rate Parity (IRP) is a fundamental concept in foreign exchange finance that establishes a relationship between spot exchange rates, forward exchange rates, and nominal interest rates of two countries. According to IRP theory, the interest rate differential between two nations equals the differential between the forward exchange rate and the spot exchange rate.
Covered Interest Rate Parity Formula
Under Covered Interest Rate Parity (CIRP), forward contracts are used to eliminate foreign exchange rate risk. The theoretical forward exchange rate formula is:
$$F = S \times \frac{1 + i_d \times t}{1 + i_f \times t}$$
Where:
- F: Theoretical Forward Exchange Rate.
- S: Current Spot Exchange Rate.
- i_d: Domestic Nominal Interest Rate (annualized).
- i_f: Foreign Nominal Interest Rate (annualized).
- t: Time to maturity in years (e.g., 6 months = 0.5 years).
Forward Premium and Arbitrage
When the domestic interest rate is higher than the foreign interest rate ($i_d > i_f$), the foreign currency trades at a forward premium ($F > S$). Conversely, when foreign interest rates exceed domestic interest rates, the foreign currency trades at a forward discount ($F < S$).
If the market forward rate differs significantly from the theoretical forward rate calculated by IRP, arbitrageurs can exploit covered interest arbitrage opportunities until market prices realign with parity.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the difference between Covered and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity?
Covered Interest Rate Parity (CIRP) uses forward contracts to lock in exchange rates and eliminate currency risk, whereas Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIRP) relies on unhedged expected future spot rates.
What is Covered Interest Arbitrage?
Covered Interest Arbitrage is a riskless trading strategy where an investor borrows in a lower-interest currency, converts to a higher-interest currency, and simultaneously sells the higher-interest currency forward to guarantee a risk-free profit.
Why does Interest Rate Parity hold in liquid financial markets?
In efficient international money markets with free capital flows, arbitrage activities by banks and financial institutions quickly eliminate pricing discrepancies, ensuring IRP holds.